Bobimisi ya caoutchouc naturel mondial ezali naino na cycle ya bokoli, mpe taux ya bokoli ya demande ya caoutchouc terminale na zando ya Chine ezali kokoba kokita. boyokani ya bopesi mpe bosenga na zando ya caoutchouc naturel etikali kopesama mingi.
More than half of 2018 has passed, with the natural rubber market first experiencing a one-off fall in the first half of the year and then a long period of low volatility.Since late June, the shanghai-gum 1901 contract has been running for more than three months in a narrow range of 11,545 yuan/ton to 12875 yuan/ton.In my opinion, the chances of the Kontra ya Shanghai-Gum 1901 Kobima na liyangani na boumeli ya sanza mibale oyo ezali koya esilá kozala na ndelo, mpe likoki ya kosilisa kontra na kati ya esika oyo mai ezali kokita ezali mingi.
Ya liboso, uta na ngambo ya bopesi.Na sanza ya libwa, Chine ekotisaki 1.85 millions ya ba tonnes ya caoutchouc naturel, soki tokokanisi yango na 2.02 millions ya ba tonnes na eleko moko ya mbula eleki.Na sanza ya libwa, Chine ezalaki na mboka 3.27 millions ya ba tonnes ya caoutchouc synthétique, soki tokokanisi yango na 3{28}}09 million ya ba mbula ya suka, na mbula ya suka, na mbula na yango, na mbula 28} 00009999999999999999999999999999999999999. 180,000 tons.In terms of total rubber imports, the import supply in the first three quarters of 2018 was slightly higher than that in 2017.From the perspective of explicit inventory, as of October 16, the warehouse quantity of futures in Shanghai futures exchange was 57,400 tons, 373,200 tons in the same period of last year, the rubber inventory of Qingdao Bonded Warehouse ezalaki 112,000 tonnes, mpe 198.900 tonnes na eleko moko ya mbula eleki.Engebene na stock ya caoutchouc na entrepôt ya futures mpe entrepôt ya bokangami ya Shanghai Futures Exchange, niveau ya inventaire ya liboso ya inventaire dominante ezali naino na caoutchouc ya likolo,{Mep ya likolo ya 22} tons tons ya likolo koleka. Shanghai Futures Exchange ezali na impact ya polele mingi na prix ya ba futures, oyo ekomisaka prix ya Shanghai-Gum 1901 na se koleka performance ya lelo ya Shanghai-Gum 1801 Contract.Atako bokoli ya inventaire oyo emonani na eleko moko ezali mwa likolo koleka bokoli ya import na même période, oyo ezali kolakisa que marché naturel intérieur ezali kaka na état ya surplus.
Second, look at downstream demand.By the end of September, China had produced and sold 20.4913 million vehicles and 20.4906 million vehicles, up 0.9 percent and 1.5 percent year-on-year, and the growth rate was down 1.9 percentage points and 2 percentage points respectively from January to August.The year-on-year growth rate of car production ezali na nse na pene na 4 points par cent.Na sanza ya libwa, Chine ezwaki production cumulative ya 647 millions ya ba pneus, komata 1,4 pour cent mbula na mbula, na nse pene na 4,4 points par cent.Ntango motango mobimba ya caoutchouc etikali relativement stable, bokiti ya demande ya se ezali na ntembe te ntina mosusu ya ntina mpo na kobeba ya boyokani ya bopesi mibeko.
In addition, the output of natural rubber in the main producing country is still increasing.According to the latest report data, from January to August 2018, the natural rubber output of Thailand, the main producing country, reached 2.783 million tons, with an increase of about 140,000 tons, and that of Indonesia, the main producing country, reached about 2.598 million tons, with an increase of about 390,000 Ba tonnes.Nzokande, kobima ya caoutchouc naturel na Vietnam mpe Inde ekiti na ba trimestres misato ya liboso ya 2018, kati na yango Vietnam ekitisaki kobima na pene na 130,000 ba tonnes mpe Inde ekitisaki kobima na pene na 40,000 tonnes na yango ya mokili mobimba ezali naino na ntina na yango na ntina na yango na ntina na yango. Bomati.Yango wana, na kokitisa ya monene te na bokeli ya kati ya ba producteurs minene mibale ya minene ya caoutchouc naturel na Thaïlande mpe Indonésie, bozito ya caoutchouc naturel mondial ekotikala ntango molai.